IPCC Author on “Human Security” Belongs to Organization That Promotes “Panarchy”

IPCC Lead Author member of group that preaches “Revolt and Remember”.

Resilience Alliance talks of “destabilization” and “destruction” leading to “reorganization”.

Group inspired by “hoofed, horned, hairy and horny” pagan god, Pan: symbol of the “all pervasive spiritual power of nature” in his “destabilizing role” of spreading “panic”.

Donna LaFramboise has an interesting post at Nofrakkingconsensus which looks at Neil Adger, the author of the new IPCC chapter on “human security”. Adger lectured on “environmental economics” at the University of East Anglia and now teaches “environmental geography” at the University of Exeter. Nofrakkingconsensus notes Adger’s record of calling for decarbonisation of the global economy and his belief in catastrophic climate change. Hardly an unbiased account for the consideration of world leaders.

Adger is also a proud member of something called The Resilience Alliance.
Whilst the organisation might sound like a convention gathering from Star Trek, their aims are far, far, more serious and wide-ranging than that. Indeed, their ultimate goal, as stated on their website, is nothing less than what they term “Panarchy” in accordance with “nature’s rules” of “unpredictable change”. An important part of the philosophy of panarchy is that national governments are increasingly sidelined in favour of multi-jurisdictional institutions.

So what does this actually entail? What does Adger’s group mean when it talks about its expressed aim of global panarchy? This isn’t entirely clear (surprise, surprise) but they sum up the most important part of the process of instigating global panarchy in the phrase “Revolt and Remember”. Perhaps this diagram would help explain:

I hope this makes our aims perfectly clear? The cycle of destruction and “reorganization” that Resilience Alliance would like to see instigated.

Just in case the esoteric swirls and formula of this diagram didn’t make it entirely clear, the authors explain that “revolt and remember” is a process of destabilization and reorganization that radically undermines structures, organisms, and institutions, allowing “new entrants”:

As a consequence of the periodic, but transient phases of destruction (omega stage) and reorganization (alpha stage), a system’s structure and processes can be reorganized. This reshuffling allows for the establishment of new system configurations and opportunities for the incorporation of exotic and entirely novel entrants into the system. The adaptive cycle explicitly introduces mutations and rearrangements as a periodic process within each hierarchical level in a way that partially isolates the resulting experiments, reducing the risk to the integrity of the whole structure.

From “Panarchy: Understanding Transformations in Human and Natural Systems”. Hosted at the Resilience Alliance Website.

Destruction of the current system will therefore form the final or “omega” phase. Following the arrival of the new entrants an entirely new phase, the “alpha” phase can begin of reorganization.

This is still quite abstract, of course. What it means in terms of social rather than biological change is that in times of crisis, institutions become vulnerable, and can be taken over and reorganized by “new entrants” as part of the cycle of destruction and reorganization:

The Revolt and Remember connections become important at times of change. When a level in the panarchy enters its omega phase and experiences a collapse, that collapse can cascade to the next larger and slower level by triggering a crisis, particularly if that level is at the K phase where resilience is low.

Resilience Alliance: Revolt and Remember.

As the Resilience Alliance explain: “an example . . . would be when local activist groups succeed in efforts to transform regional institutions and politics”. If institutions have become (or can be encouraged to become) overly large and unwieldy, they will be “rigid” and vulnerable to attack. “Fast and small” events could, the authors argue, overwhelm even large institutions and lead to the collapse and destruction that must necessarily precede “reorganization”.

“Revolt” may take place when a level in the panarchy enters its omega phase of collapse. The collapse can cascade up to the next larger and slower level by triggering a crisis, particularly if the higher level is at the K phase where resilience is low. This effect could cascade to still higher and slower levels if those levels had accumulated vulnerabilities and rigidities. In “revolt” fast and small events overwhelm slow and large ones.

However, it is crucial to observe that when the Resilience Alliance talks of “Panarchy” they do not mean to imply a natural equivalence to anarchy as self-rule. In their vision of a Panarchic world, there would still be hierarchies, but these hierarchies would be concerned with ecological matters. Control of the four elements of nature -air, water, earth, and fire – would fall to those who understood that “panic” and “destruction” also imply creation and reorganization:

Since the word hierarchy is so burdened by the rigid, top-down nature of its common meaning, we prefer to invent another term that captures the adaptive, and evolutionary nature of adaptive cycles that are nested one within the other across space and time scales. We call them panarchies, drawing on the image of the Greek god Pan – the universal god of nature. This hoofed, horned, hairy and horny deity . . . represents the all pervasive spiritual power of nature and has a personality and role that is described in sections of the Orphic Hymns as Goat-legged, enthusiastic, lover of ecstasy, dancing among stars, weaving the harmony of the cosmos into playful song . . .

In addition to this creative role, Pan has a destabilizing role that is captured in the word panic, directly derived from one facet of his paradoxical personality. His attributes are described in ways that resonate with the attributes of the four phase adaptive cycle; as the creative and motive power of universal nature, the controller and arranger of the four elements- earth, water, air and fire (or perhaps, of K, alpha, r and omega!). He therefore represents the inherent features of the synthesis that has emerged in this comparison of ecological and social systems.

Thus, Panarchy in this context still involves hierarchy, but it implies that with panic and destruction comes the opportunity to seize control of the elements of nature and govern with a pagan, natural spirituality that honours “sacred” Mother Earth. This isn’t the first time that links between supposedly free nature and global hierarchies of administration have been noted, but this is one of the most radical and explicit calls for it so far. Notably, James Hansen of NASA GISS endorsed a book which called for ridding the world of industrial civilisation, but even that book didn’t talk so openly about how “destabilization” could lead to the “collapse” of institutions at times of crisis and vulnerability.

Pan, horned, hairy, and horny. Deity of panic, destruction and creative reorganization according to the Resilience Alliance.

Quite why Adger wants to associate himself with a group like The Resilience Alliance that preaches “Revolt and Remember” as part of the cycle of destruction and reorganization on the path to global panarchy I will leave to others to decide for themselves. But it does make you wonder if such a person should be writing chapters on “Human Security” for the IPCC.

Neil Adger, the man the IPCC has entrusted to write their chapter on “Human Security” and proud member of the Resilience Alliance.

19 responses to “IPCC Author on “Human Security” Belongs to Organization That Promotes “Panarchy”

  1. Jonathan Smith

    Looks like the UEA is a magnet for idiots from all areas of academia.

  2. The IPCC continues to shift further away from their pretense of being interested in objective science. It is becoming very transparent that they are nothing more than a political organization comprised of transnational progressives.

  3. If institutions have become (or can be encouraged to become) overly large and unwieldy, they will be “rigid” and vulnerable to attack. “Fast and small” events could, the authors argue, overwhelm even large institutions and lead to the collapse and destruction that must necessarily precede “reorganization”.

    Greenpeace, Fiends of the Earth and the WWF better watch out then!

  4. Pingback: More on IPCC Chapter Head Neil Adger – & Stephen Schnedier « NoFrakkingConsensus

  5. I have been chronicling what is really going on in education and how it, like AGW and now climate change, is a means to an end. Control, preferably without the submission being obvious.
    The educators still refer to Schneider a great deal and regard the 1989 book Blueprint for a Green Economy by David Pearce, Anil Markandya, and Edward B Barbier as the still relevant gameplan for climate change, the economy, and education.

    In ed, transformation means changing people. What they value and what they can do and how they think. Or preferably not so much. I wrote today about the Education for Sustainable Development pushed globally through the UN. UK pilots and then Australia and the US follow.

    They mean to change any which way they can.

  6. Robert of Ottawa

    But .. but … what is the “unpredictable change” that the Warmistas are constently, and unsuccessfully, predicting to occur?

  7. Must confess I had never heard of panarchy before now. Re the great and hairy god Pan (hiding in his forest of impenetrable jargon), I’m somehow reminded of CS Lewis’s novel “That Hideous Strength” in which behind the closed doors of a lofty scientific institition there lurk crazed cultists with knives, chanting “Ouroborindra ba-ba-hee!”

    It’s a mad world, my masters. I blame global weirding.

    • Lmao! It’s pretty bizarre isn’t it. I think it’s some kind of re-working of that tired old theoretical approach from the 1960s and 70s, cyerbnetics or “systems theory”. Wouldn’t you know it, cybernetics relies heavily on computer modelling (it was the theoretical underpinning for the laughably wrong “Limits to Growth”). Invented by a Nazi scientist, Von Bertanllfy, its basic idea is self-regulating systems. When you really read up on it, it’s basically one of those approaches where you can get any result you want by tweaking the models. Quelle surprise. “Panarchy” seems to be a version of that which looks at interactions between ecological and sociological systems. Talk about a recipe for complete bullshit.

  8. Nick in Vancouver

    All sounds so…..Khmer Rouge, doesn’t it? The first things that would go up in flames in an “omega state” would be the Ivory Towers of idiot-academics like Mr Adger – as we have seen from Pnohm Pehn to Kabul to Beijing to St Peterburgh. Be careful what you wish for Mr Adger.

  9. I think they’ve run out of smart liars like Schneider and have to use the leftovers now. Expect the IPCC to descent into eternal darkness. German has the beautiful term “Geistige Umnachtung” for this – lit. “spiritual endarkenment”.

  10. “This is still quite abstract, of course.”

    No it’s not. It’s the Cultural Marxists “march through the institutions” all over again, this time on a global scale. Nasty piece of work Mr. Adger, and this whole new move by the IPCC simply confirms that they are sweet FA to do with climate, rather a political agency. Working against the interests of Joe and Joanna Public.

  11. Global warming was so obviously baloney and pseudo science, but at least one could rebut the glaring exaggerations and errors. Morphing into “climate change” the scaremongering was a bit more opaque, but in both cases reality came to the rescue. This next phase of International Communism at the UN is a bit tougher tackle. The alarmists couldn’t defend the indefensible. The scaremongers refused to wear the onus of proof. i.e. there may be evidence of the existence of Sasquatch, but no proof. One can’t argue a negative.
    Then they come up with this fruitcake. How does one mount an argument against this unintelligible malarkey? Is it not only wrong, but deliriously undecipherable?

  12. I’m not sure which is more disturbing … heretofore relative unknowns such as Adger and his “panarchic” beliefs holding such a position at the IPCC, or pronouncements such as:

    Achieving sustainability requires us to transform the global economy. Tinkering on the margins will not do the job. The current global economic crisis, which has led many to question the performance of existing global economic governance, offers an opportunity for significant reforms. It gives us a chance to shift more decisively towards green growth — not just in the financial system, but in the real economy. Policy action is needed in a number of key areas […] [emphasis added -hro]

    from UN “High level panels” – not to mention the exhortations of Mark Stafford Smith, CSIRO’s man of the hour during the recent carbon-cuts-for-thee-but-not-for-me “Planet Under Pressure” Conference.

    Putting it all together makes one feel one has entered tinfoil-hat territory – just as we are occasionally accused of by those noble climate scientists who wish to divert attention from their own shortcomings.

  13. Luther Blissett

    Is this about dancing naked around the campfire not being an exclusively girl thing? One look tells you Neil Adger is not going to get an invite to that party.

  14. Souls like Ron Paul fans. go Ron

  15. I can’t be bothered with all the words I could use right now, so I will content myself with ‘ Adger is a raving fecking eejit!’

  16. Problem is the sceptic blogosphere isn’t attempting a serious debate on whether scientists extra-curricular activities should disqualify them from contributing to the IPCC. Any such debate would have to take into account , say Ross McKittrick’s Fraser Institute membership or Pat Michaels representing Cato or Richard Tol being on the GWPF and Economic and Social Research Institute.

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