I’m sure everyone’s seen the pictures on the news of the dramatic and distressing floods in Queensland, north-eastern Australia. As expected, global warming was blamed for the floods by some, though most news outlets have so far resisted the temptation. Heavy and sustained rainfall is not uncommon in north-eastern Australia, though the recent increase in rainfall is remarkable.
So what was the IPCC regional impact prediction for the area – more rainfall and subsequent flooding? Of course not. Remember, when the last report was compiled, there was a drought, so strangely enough, the IPCC found that droughts would become more frequent as “a change in climate toward drier conditions” took hold there:
Using a transient simulation with the NCAR CCMO GCM at coarse resolution (R15) (Meehl and Washington, 1996), Kothavala (1999) found for northeastern and southeastern Australia that the Palmer Drought Severity Index indicated longer and more severe droughts in the transient simulation at about 2xCO2 conditions than in the control simulation. This is consistent with a more El Niño-like average climate in the enhanced greenhouse simulation; it contrasts with a more ambivalent result by Whetton et al. (1993), who used results from several slab-ocean GCMs and a simple soil water balance model. Similar but less extreme results were found by Walsh et al. (2000) for estimates of meteorological drought in Queensland, based on simulations with the CSIRO RCM at 60-km resolution, nested in the CSIRO Mk2 GCM.
That’s right – the IPCC prediction for north-east Australia (Queensland) was less rainfall, more droughts, and a generally drier climate. In fact, the regional impact report speculates on the effect that “A change in climate toward drier conditions as a result of lower rainfall and higher evaporative demand” would have on Queensland.
And what about the possibility of flooding caused by increased rainfall? Nothing. Not one word.
.
I’m sure they told the Aussie government, but didn’t go public to….
avoid panic??
And of course, why not spend a few billion on desalinaton plants:
“We consider ourselves the canary in the coal mine for climate change-induced changes to water supply systems,” said Ross Young, executive director of the Water Services Association of Australia, an umbrella group of the country’s urban water utilities. He described the $13.2 billion as “the cost of adapting to climate change.”
Fantastic – thanks for posting that, I hadn’t spotted it. Cheers.
Funny thing seeing that ecoweirdo Higgins piece earlier that tree loving website proclaims the plastic island in the pacific ocean is twice the size of Texas.
However……..
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/earthnews/8241265/Great-Garbage-Patch-in-the-Pacific-Ocean-not-so-great-claim-scientists.html
I hope this works:
An it got worse!
Congratulations HTL you are being quoted in the Telegraph Dellingpole gives you a great write up in his latest post.
Wow! Pretty cool. Thanks for the heads up.
Haunting the Library see this link. A history of droughts in Australia. Very illuminating. ;O)
http://home.iprimus.com.au/foo7/droughthistory.html
When will the Warmists realise that this past drought is part of a natural cycle?
Thanks for the links. I am squirrelling them away for inclusion in a later article!
More on desalination:
Dec 17, 2010 – Solve Climate News
Unlike Calif., Australia Has No Choice But to Desalinate Their Sea Water
December 05, 2010 – Couriermail
Queensland scraps the desal plant
Ouch!
Ouch!
I forgot the link to my last comment, first paragraph
http://www.gladstoneobserver.com.au/story/2010/12/27/barra-are-wild-once-in-river-gladstone-awoonga-dam/
There was an Australian on the radio last night who commented that the people who had lived in the area longer had built their houses on stilts because of things like flooding – as well as dissuading cohabitation by the local creepie crawlies. There has been an explosion of house building – all on ground level -which is how houses are built in the south of the country.
I wonder if they also built on the flood plains? Funnily enough I was in Darwin some 40 years ago and most of the houses there were also built on stilts. Obviously the old ideas are still the best!
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Great site guys! Global warming is a huge scam, and I’m so pleased people are now waking up to that.
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